Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.001074 0.001222 0.001371 0.001532 0.001700 0.001871 0.002056
2025-08-31 0.000852 0.001064 0.001285 0.001530 0.001793 0.002065 0.002366
2025-09-07 0.000698 0.000958 0.001238 0.001557 0.001905 0.002271 0.002682
2025-09-14 0.000536 0.000824 0.001147 0.001524 0.001946 0.002395 0.002905
2025-09-21 0.000438 0.000753 0.001118 0.001554 0.002049 0.002583 0.003193
2025-09-28 0.000378 0.000718 0.001125 0.001621 0.002190 0.002809 0.003522
2025-10-05 0.000295 0.000645 0.001081 0.001623 0.002254 0.002947 0.003751
2025-10-12 0.000236 0.000596 0.001060 0.001649 0.002342 0.003110 0.004005
2025-10-19 0.000169 0.000523 0.001005 0.001629 0.002374 0.003206 0.004183
2025-10-26 0.000120 0.000469 0.000967 0.001627 0.002424 0.003321 0.004379
2025-11-02 0.000074 0.000408 0.000916 0.001605 0.002448 0.003403 0.004536
2025-11-09 0.000041 0.000356 0.000872 0.001590 0.002477 0.003490 0.004697
2025-11-16 0.000003 0.000258 0.000767 0.001509 0.002449 0.003536 0.004841
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000202 0.000716 0.001498 0.002505 0.003680 0.005101
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000164 0.000690 0.001518 0.002599 0.003871 0.005415
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000112 0.000626 0.001482 0.002622 0.003976 0.005631
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000088 0.000609 0.001509 0.002723 0.004173 0.005951
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000077 0.000619 0.001574 0.002871 0.004425 0.006335
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000052 0.000586 0.001575 0.002936 0.004577 0.006602
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000036 0.000571 0.001600 0.003030 0.004764 0.006908
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000016 0.000529 0.001580 0.003064 0.004876 0.007126
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000005 0.000499 0.001577 0.003120 0.005013 0.007372
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.000460 0.001555 0.003148 0.005115 0.007575